The Legal Examiner Mark The Legal Examiner Mark The Legal Examiner Mark search twitter facebook feed linkedin instagram google-plus avvo phone envelope checkmark mail-reply spinner error close
Skip to main content

Future airline pilots will be less experienced, less ethical and in short supply, said a panel of experts at an aviation safety forum as reported by the Associated Press. Following the tragedy of 9/11 and subsequent economic struggles of the airline industry, there have been far more pilots than jobs. However, that trend is reversing as airlines continue to recover and experts say the demand for qualified pilots will out-pace the supply.

From the Associated Press:

While there are more pilots than there are airline jobs today, the reverse is likely to be true as airlines recover from the economic recession and begin hiring again, experts on pilot hiring and screening told the National Transportation Safety Board. The coming shortage may likely fall heaviest on regional airlines, who generally employ less-experienced pilots at lower salaries, they said.

There are about 54,000 pilots working for major airlines, nearly 19,000 regional airline pilots and about 2,500 qualified pilots available for hire in the U.S. today, said aviation consultant Judy Tarver, a former pilot recruiter for American Airlines. She estimated that airlines will need to hire about 42,090 pilots over the next decade, due to retirements and anticipated industry growth.

Panel members said there are far fewer military pilots leaving for jobs with airlines. Fewer college students say they want careers in aviation because they see it as an economic dead end, and airlines are increasingly having to compete with corporations for pilots.

The comments came as the safety board began a three-day forum on how to get more pilots and air traffic controllers to consistently strive for a high-level of professionalism. The impetus for the forum is a series of high-profile incidents over the past year in which the conduct and judgment of pilots and controllers have been called into question, including the crash of a regional airliner near Buffalo, N.Y., that killed 50 people.

The safety board said the crash occurred after the plane stalled because the pilot pulled back, instead of pushing forward, on a key piece of safety equipment. But they also cited a series of errors and unprofessional conduct by the pilot and first officer leading up to the accident.

Previous studies have found that pilots at smaller regional airlines are dangerously under-trained. Many small-airline pilots have never experienced (or even practiced) critical maneuvers, such as mid-air icing on wings, an emergency water landing, or regaining aircraft control after an unexpected roll or spin. Even the Air Line Pilots Association released a white paper concluding that a "complete overhaul of pilot selection and training methods is needed."

I am fortunate to know several pilots who have flown everything from Cessna 152s to citation corporate jets to large airliners. Every pilot wants to be safe, but if they are not properly trained there is little they can do.

Airlines need to do more to ensure their pilots are properly trained and properly compensated. I don’t know about you, but I want to make sure the man or woman in charge of taking me safely from 30,000 feet down to the ground has the very best training and actually makes more money than the very nice flight attendant serving me a Diet Coke in the back.

True Story: A friend of mine was on a flight with a major regional airline. During the flight, he found out the flight attendant was also a pilot for the airline, but could earn more money serving drinks in the back than by flying the plane in the cockpit.

All airlines — regional, national, international — need to make sure that those charged with delivering hundreds of passengers from city to city receive the highest and best training possible. One little mistake can have disastrous consequences.

Learn more at our safety blog and become a fan of Langdon & Emison on Facebook.

One Comment

  1. Gravatar for Brad

    It is easy to see why the supply of pilots is forecast to decrease. The aviation industry has changed drastically in the past 10 years as a result of the terrorist attacks of September 2001 and the "Great Recession." Major and Legacy Airlines (Delta/Northwest, American, Continental/United, etc.) have contracted, particularly in their domestic flying and the slack has been picked up by low-paying regional airlines, the result of which is fewer “mainline” jobs in which to advance and make a prosperous career.

    A first year co-pilot at Colgan Air (the airline responsible for the crash last February in Buffalo, NY) is paid $18,900/year; a fifth year co-pilot makes $26,100/year and a fifth year captain makes $54,000 (source: . These payrates are typical of the regional airline industry. When you consider the cost of flight training to become an airline pilot, which in many cases approaches or exceeds $50,000 for flight training alone, a person would have to be a little crazy (perhaps crazy enough to be denied an FAA Medical Certificate, LOL) to pursue an airline career at this time.

    The professional pilot in me hopes that the U.S. does experience a shortage of pilots, that the traditional laws of supply and demand kick-in and that regional salaries will increase to a livable wage – even to the point where more senior pilots will stay at regional airlines. Until then, the experience disparity will only widen between the “mainlines” and their regional affiliates as the regionals scrape the bottom of the barrel of experienced pilots to fill their seats.

Comments are closed.

Of Interest